Israeli Public Opinion Shifts on Palestinian State, Security Concerns Heightened

A recent survey by the Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs (JCFA) reveals significant insights into the Israeli public’s stance on future peace negotiations and security concerns. The survey, conducted by Dr. Menachem Lazar’s Lazar Research Institute, shows that 60% of Israelis, including 56% of Arab Israelis, oppose the idea of integrating the Palestinian Authority into a future arrangement in Gaza.

The poll, conducted among over 700 Jewish and Arab Israelis aged 18-65, highlights the growing concerns regarding potential threats, particularly after the October 7 massacre. A staggering 62% of respondents, including 68% of Jews and 25% of Arabs, expressed concern about the possibility of an attack originating from the West Bank. These fears reflect a broader shift in public opinion regarding the establishment of a Palestinian state, especially after the October 7 events.

In light of the recent massacre, 67% of Israelis, including 75% of Jewish respondents, opposed the establishment of a Palestinian state along the 1967 lines. Only 42% of Arabs supported such a state without conditions, marking a 10% increase from previous surveys. Despite this, the idea of normalization with Saudi Arabia did not sway public opinion, with opposition to a Palestinian state remaining at over 60% even when the normalization was offered as a diplomatic incentive.

The prospect of Hamas maintaining control in Gaza, whether in a civil or military role, has been overwhelmingly rejected. A massive 82% of Israelis, including 90% of Jews and 33% of Arabs, opposed Hamas staying in any civilian capacity. Regarding Hamas' military role, 94% of Jewish respondents and 46% of Arab respondents were opposed to the idea.

Following the October 7 massacre, 71% of respondents expressed support for creating long-term buffer zones along Israel’s borders with Lebanon, Syria, and Gaza. These buffer zones are seen as a necessary step to provide physical separation and deter future attacks.

Moreover, the survey revealed broad backing for a military strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities. 61% of Israelis supported such an action, with 38% advocating for coordination with the United States and 23% preferring unilateral action by Israel.

The survey also highlighted public concern about potential future conflicts with Egypt, with 55% of respondents not worried about war with Egypt, while 33% expressed concerns. Regarding US President Donald Trump’s plan for Gazan emigration, 75% of Israelis supported the initiative, although 58% of Arab respondents were opposed.